Monday, August 20, 2018, 1:13 AM EDT
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Area Forecast Discussion
Valid At
Wed, Dec 31, 7:00pm EST
FXUS61 KCAR 200131
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
Issued by National Weather Service Gray ME
931 PM EDT Sun Aug 19 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the region through Monday then
exit to the east Tuesday. Low pressure will cross the northern
and drag a cold front across the south Wednesday, bringing
showers. High pressure builds back in for the end of the week
and into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
930 PM Update...Little change to the going forecast. Other than
some cirrus overhead and some coastal stratus, will continue to
mention patchy fog at most locations overnight. 

Previously...

Sfc high pressure centered over New Brunswick continues to
extend S and W into ME tonight, and a light NE flow will
persist, but should see decoupling in the sheltered areas, which
should produce some patchy fog. Lows will generally be around 50
in the N, and in the mid to upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
The ridge holds Monday into Monday night but does weaken a bit.
Still should be a nice day on Monday with mainly sunny skies and
highs generally in the mid to upper 70s, but cooler at the 
shore. Monday should stay mainly fair as as well with lows
similar to Sunday night. Some signs that we could see some
coastal stratus and fog moving onshore Monday evening, but
should still have some light NE boundary flow which provides
enough fry air to prevent it.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Decent 500 MB trough will be track ENE out of the Great Lakes 
late Tuesday and Tuesday night, with sfc low tracking ENE N of 
the St. Lawrence valley Tue night into Wed. Tue should be fine, 
with maybe increasing clouds, but also some warmer air moving 
air as flow shifts to the SW. Highs should generally be in mid 
70s to low 80s. Best chance of rain looks to be Wednesday, but 
could see some showers moving in late Tue night. Also, the best 
dynamics with system stay to the north, but should be energetic 
enough to produce a decent line of showers, and maybe some 
t-storms along the front as it moves through Wednesday. 

High pressure will build i behind the front Thu-Fri with mainly
sunny skies and comfortable humidity. Highs Thursday will be in
the 70s, but look for temps to warm to around 80 in may places 
on Friday. Saturday looks dry and warm as well.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: Mainly VFR thru Mon night with the exception of 
valley fog tonight. 

LONG TERM: VFR Tue into Tue night, with some tempo flight
restrictions in SHRA/TSRA on Wed into Wed evening. VFR returns 
Thu/Fri.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory 
levels today through Tuesday. 

SHORT TERM: May need SCA Wed, bit otherwise winds/seas remain
blo SCA levels.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
WFO CAR suffered a comms failure this morning, and forecast and
warning duties to be handled by WFO GYX until the comms are 
restored.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

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